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Modelling the trend of economic burden index for EU states
Kolman, Martin ; Arltová, Markéta (advisor) ; Helman, Karel (referee)
The purpose of this work is to analyze economic burden index in states of European Union. After describing the history of index for every state, the estimation of index evolution will be made. The analysis includes as well the graph for each state in which a history of index is clearly displayed from year 1992. There is a need to know the number of people in particular economic generation to calculate the value of index. There are information about the amount of people in five years age groups at website of Eurostat. We can get the number of people in preproductive, productive and postproductive generation after counting of suitable values. We will earn the value of economic burden index after putting the values into scheme. Exponential smoothing is used to model the trend. The evolution of index in next five years is estimated by the best type of this method.

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